follows Tallinn and Vilnius Warsaw for energy independence from Moscow, which accelerates the melting of the gas monopoly with Kyiv and obtain the pipelines. Diplomatic crisis between the Kremlin and Minsk, gunfire between Baku and Yerevan. Bishek refuses European aid.
Summer, but the political temperature is very hot. Between gas, energy, diplomatic and military crisis, the ex-Soviet world is experiencing a period of moderate instability, and significant transformation.
First, energy policy, with the news that Poland, too, would follow the example of the Baltic countries to protect their pipelines from Russian ambitions. As reported by the Russian newspaper Kommersant,''and confirmed Gazeta.ru news agency, Warsaw DESCRIBES tear to Gazprom - the Russian gas monopoly - the possession of the Polish section of the Jamal-Europe gas pipeline, and entrusted to the company Gaz-System state-controlled. To ensure
the maneuver, the Third EU Energy Package, which requires that every energy infrastructure must be available at the entrance of third parties, and not remain in the hands of only one or two partners. Specifically, it reserves the countries of the Union the ability to detect its pipeline in three ways: nationalization, creation of a new operator a majority government, launching of extraordinary economic action, for the purchase of 50% plus one of actions of the giant state.
That rule, reiterated at a press representative from the European Commission, Jozef Aenon, has already been exploited by Estonia and Lithuania. Which, in July, gave the green light to spin-off companies national Eesti Gaas and Lietuvos dujos, owners of local gas pipelines, both majority owned by the Russian monopolist.
The process of unification between the giant Gazprom and Naftohaz Ukraine, which began when, last spring, the Russian prime minister, Vladimir Putin, proposed to his colleague in Ukraine, Mykola Azarov, the merger of the two national monopolists. In a television interview, the Ukrainian energy minister, Yuriy Bojko, explained that, in exchange for possession of mining sites in the Black Sea and its energy infrastructure system, Moscow is ready to give up their deposits on the ability of 30 cubic meters of gas annually. A substantial amount, which, however, remain serious doubts.
fact, the Ukrainian edition of Kommersant''reported the news that work on extraction from the site in question - yet secret - were never made, and the presence of so much gold, blue would be anything but safe. In fact, Gazprom would be limited to a simple grant permission to use. With hope, altriu cost, to find a new tank of gas, to be used to meet the growing demand for an increasingly thirsty.
Always regard to Russia, Moscow has enjoyed a diplomatic crisis with Belarus. De facto, this is a skirmish. Which, however, if contextualized in a continuous period of between rudeness Minsk and the Kremlin, depicts well the tension between the two registries, once strong allies. On August 30, unknown assailants threw bags containing flammable material within the territory of the Russian Federation ell'ambasciata. Ideally, no victims, only damaged a car service. The Kremlin has demanded an explanation, and the Belarusian president Lukashenka Aljaksandr has spared the controversy, accusing Moscow of using the incident to its advantage disceditare, before international public opinion, the Belarusian authorities. On the model because, from time, they would carrying out the Russian media against him.
backdrop of disagreements between the two countries, the recent attempts by Minsk di allentare la dipendenza dal vicino russo, sopratutto in ambito politico ed energetico. Sempre lo scorso luglio, la Bielorussia ha iniziato una seria collaborazione con la Lituania per il trasporto di nafta e gas. Aprendo, a riguardo, anche all'Ucraina. Inoltre, Lukashenka si è assicurato forniture di gasolio dal Venezuela, grazie a patti stretti personalmente con Chavez, e, nel mese di agosto, ha implementato l'estrazione di nafta dai giacimenti iraniani.
Da una crisi diplomatica ad una militare, più ad est. Nella giornata di martedì, 31 agosto, è riesplosa la tensione nella regione del Nagorno-Karabakh, contesa tra Azerbajdzhan ed Armenia da oramai una ventina di anni. Una sparatoria, della cui responsabilità Baku and Yerevan have accused each other. In all, five of the dead - for the record, two Azerbaijanis and Armenians three - and wounded - Azerbaijan.
The Nagorno-Karabakh is one of those chapters of the ex-Soviet still dangerously open. Fought between 1987 and 1994, the war resulted in the loss of control of Azerbaijan over the region, and its consequent self-proclamation to the Autonomous Republic is not recognized. Baku has always claimed ownership of the territory, and accused the Armenian aggression and occupation. In response, Yerevan has shown that the natives are ethnically Armenian.
to raise the tension between the two countries last August, the extension of the stationing of military Russians in Armenia until 2044. Baku dinnazni responded with great concern the strengthening of the close military and, especially, in the presence of soldiers in Moscow. However, many people, including political scientists and experts, Medvedev stressed that the move is not anti-Azeri, but a warning to Turkey to avoid any possible future involvement in the area, considered the prerogative of the Kremlin.
Warm temperatures also in neighboring Kyrgyzstan. Here, last spring, a coup overthrew the leadership of the Tulip Revolution, Kurmanbek Bakijev, and established on the presidential chair Roza Otumba, welcome to Moscow. However, violence in the country, which in April led to la morte di 75 persone, tra cui il ministro dell'interno Moldomusa Kongatijev, non sono terminate. Sostenitori di Bakiev, riparato prima in Kazakhstan, poi in Bielorussia, si sono radunati nella città meridionale di Osh, al confine con l'Uzbekistan. Con cui, a causa dei numerosi profughi, si è aperta una crisi, risolta dall'intervento della Otumbajeva - nel frattempo confermata presidente e capo del governo ad interim fino al 2012 - che ha invocato l'aiuto dei russi.
Pronta la mobilitazione dell'Europa, che ha offerto alle nuove autorità di Bishek un contingente non armato di cinquanta uomini per sorvegliare la zona di confine con Tashkent. Nulla da fare, il Kyrgystan vuole solo i russi. Come dichiarato dal portavoce dell'amministrazione Presidential Ablanbek Dzhumabajev, no agreement will be signed until you have the protection of national interests cetezze kyrgysi. In addition, by day, are the growing protests against the action plans of the Old Continent, although it is aimed at maintaining peace.
Finally, another masterpiece of diplomatic balancing act in Brussels: to provoke the Russian-Georgian conflict in 2008 was Tbilisi. But Moscow. Salomon statement has not been pronounced by a former candidate for the chairmanship of the Italian, but the European Commission. Which after two years, finished the study of the crisis in August 2008. Then, the army violated the territorial sovereignty of the Kremlin Georgian ex-colony to rip the invisible - guilty of NATO partnership and aspire to dream of joining the EU - the separatist republics of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, finally expressed their independent, and, to date, only recognized by the Russian Federation, Venezuela, Nicaragua and atoll of Nauru.
In a separate document, Brussels has described the conflict as a natural result of the complex ethnic and political situation in the region unstable since the time of the dissolution of the Soviet Union, whose federal structure has not been able to stabilize the Caucasus. The responsibility for the crisis of 2008 would fall Georgian army, which, on the night between 7 and 8 August, he fired the first shot: the last episode of an escalation of mutual provocations between Moscow and Tbilisi.
The declaration of the European Commission interested in a chapter not yet passed. Permissible to remember that, last August, to coincide with the tenth anniversary of the Kursk submarine tragedy - which claimed the life of 118 soldiers of the Russian navy - the Kremlin has deployed missiles in its territory of Abkhazia. C-300 air defense interceptors, which have provoked an outcry in Tbilisi alone. No reaction, instead, to whom Democracy and Human Rights should protect them anywhere in the world. Brussels had agreed to discuss nutella and length of fish fishable. The U.S. president, Obama, on vacation, distracted from golf tournaments and dinners based on those few shrimp escaped the oil spill.
Matthew Cazzulani
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